基于神经网络的1 N推力器组件电磁阀关时间预测

Neural network-based prediction of solenoid valve closing time for a 1 N thruster assembly

  • 摘要: 1 N推力器组件电磁阀的开关性能是影响卫星推进系统可靠性的关键因素。低温环境测试下的关时间超标会导致研制周期延误与成本增加,因此,需要建立高精度预测模型以实现风险预警。文章基于194台1 N推力器组件的生产测试数据,选取21项电磁阀关键参数作为输入,以低温关时间为输出,分别构建反向传播(BP)神经网络和卷积神经网络(CNN)预测模型。误差参数的对比评估表明,BP神经网络模型预测精度显著优于CNN模型,其全连接结构更适用于此类小规模、物理规律明确的工程数据。BP神经网络在航天部件性能预测方面有良好的应用前景,可为研制流程中的参数优化与风险防控提供数据支撑,从而提升研制效率与产品可靠性。

     

    Abstract: The switching performance of the solenoid valve in a 1 N thruster assembly is a critical factor influencing the reliability of satellite propulsion systems. Excessively long closing times observed during low-temperature tests can result in project delays and cost overruns. Since conventional testing methods are unable to detect anomalies in advance, a high-accuracy prediction model is essential for early risk identification. In this study, production test data from 194 sets of 1 N thruster assemblies were used to develop back propagation (BP) and convolutional neural network (CNN) models. Twenty-one key parameters of the solenoid valve were selected as inputs, with the low-temperature closing time as the output. The results indicate that the BP neural network model achieved significantly higher prediction accuracy than the CNN model, suggesting that its fully connected structure is better suited for small-scale, well-characterized engineering data. These findings demonstrate the strong potential of neural network algorithms for predicting the performance of aerospace components, providing data support for parameter optimization and risk mitigation, thereby improving development efficiency and product reliability.

     

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