基于K-means聚类算法和贝叶斯网络模型的沿海地区温湿度数据挖掘

Temperature and humidity data mining in coastal areas using K-means clustering and Bayesian network models

  • 摘要: 海上发射的航天器长期暴露于严酷的湿热腐蚀环境中,其工作性能与贮存可靠性受到区域性气候影响,而现有环境试验方法试验剖面与实际环境数据的关联性存在不足。基于在海南万宁沿海地区实时采集的户外、遮棚与库房三类场地的温湿度数据,采用K-means聚类算法与K2贝叶斯网络模型结构学习算法,实现对温湿度数据内在结构的特征聚类和影响规律挖掘。研究结果表明,温湿度分布能够划分为中温高湿、高温低湿和低温低湿三类典型模式;通过贝叶斯网络模型建立了月份、场地和温湿度数据之间的概率关联,可依据任务参数生成概率化环境剖面。该方法在沿海环境特征识别中表现出良好的适应性,可为航天器湿热海洋环境适应性设计及试验条件的定制化设计提供方法支持。

     

    Abstract: Spacecraft to be launched at sea are exposed to harsh, hot, and humid corrosive environments for extended periods. These regional climatic conditions significantly constrain their operational performance and storage reliability. However, the correlation between test profiles derived from existing environmental testing methods and actual environmental data remains insufficient. In this study, the coastal area of Wanning (in Hainan province, China) was selected as the research site. A distributed monitoring system was used to collect real-time temperature and humidity data from three types of sites: outdoor exposed areas, sheds, and storage rooms. The K-means clustering and K2 Bayesian network structure learning algorithms were applied to characterize the intrinsic structures of the temperature and humidity data and to explore their underlying patterns. The results showed that the temperature and humidity distributions could be clustered into three typical patterns: moderate temperature with high humidity, high temperature with low humidity, and low temperature with low humidity. A Bayesian network model was established to reveal the probabilistic relationships among months, sites, and temperature–humidity patterns, enabling the generation of probabilistic environmental profiles based on actual mission parameters. The proposed method demonstrates excellent adaptability in identifying coastal environmental characteristics and offers a viable methodology for the design of spacecraft adaptability to the hot and humid marine environment, and the customized design of test conditions.

     

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