王新刚, 马瑞敏, 黄小凯, 等. 基于性能退化的失效阈值变化速率对产品可靠性的影响[J]. 航天器环境工程, 2020, 37(2): 137-142 DOI: 10.12126/see.2020.02.006
引用本文: 王新刚, 马瑞敏, 黄小凯, 等. 基于性能退化的失效阈值变化速率对产品可靠性的影响[J]. 航天器环境工程, 2020, 37(2): 137-142 DOI: 10.12126/see.2020.02.006
WANG X G, MA R M, HUANG X K, et al. Effect of failure threshold change rate on the anlysis of product reliability based on performance degradation[J]. Spacecraft Environment Engineering, 2020, 37(2): 137-142. DOI: 10.12126/see.2020.02.006
Citation: WANG X G, MA R M, HUANG X K, et al. Effect of failure threshold change rate on the anlysis of product reliability based on performance degradation[J]. Spacecraft Environment Engineering, 2020, 37(2): 137-142. DOI: 10.12126/see.2020.02.006

基于性能退化的失效阈值变化速率对产品可靠性的影响

Effect of failure threshold change rate on the anlysis of product reliability based on performance degradation

  • 摘要: 性能退化分析是一种有效弥补数据不足的可靠性评估方法。采用线性变化过程描述机械产品的性能退化过程,考虑产品受极值冲击和运行冲击的情况,分析性能退化过程对突发失效的阈值影响。基于变失效阈值的性能退化过程和变失效阈值的冲击过程,建立突发失效和性能退化失效同时存在下的竞争失效可靠性模型。结合实例对可靠性模型进行分析,结果表明:若采用定失效阈值,忽略失效阈值的变化,产品的可靠度会被高估;在一定范围内,机械产品的可靠度随着失效阈值变化速率的增大而下降,随着性能退化量的变大而提升。

     

    Abstract: The performance degradation analysis is an effective way of assessing the reliability when there are not enough failure data available. The performance degradation process of mechanical systems is described as a linear degradation process. With consideration of the extreme impact and the operation impact on the products, the threshold effect of the performance degradation process on the sudden failure is analyzed. Based on the analysis of the performance degradation process and the impact process of variable failure thresholds, a competitive failure reliability model is established with consideration of both the sudden failure and the performance degradation failure. The reliability model is analyzed with an example. It is shown that the reliability of the product would be overestimated if the failure threshold is regarded as a definite value. In a certain range, the reliability of the mechanical products gradually decreases with the increase of the change rate of the failure threshold, and keeps a positive correlation with the performance degradation.

     

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